{"id":4668,"date":"2018-12-23T23:41:34","date_gmt":"2018-12-23T16:41:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/?p=4668"},"modified":"2019-11-27T10:52:06","modified_gmt":"2019-11-27T03:52:06","slug":"10-du-doan-cho-kinh-te-the-gioi-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/en\/10-du-doan-cho-kinh-te-the-gioi-2019\/","title":{"rendered":"10 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n cho kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi 2019"},"content":{"rendered":"

Chuy\u00ean trang t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh Seeking Alpha m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2019. B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i d\u00e0i nh\u1eb1m m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 xoay quanh nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u0103m 2018 v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ed9. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e0 \u0111i l\u00ean d\u1ea7n bi\u1ebfn m\u1ea5t khi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ed7ng chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng euro, Anh qu\u1ed1c, Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u suy y\u1ebfu. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng t\u1ed1c nhanh nh\u1edd v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c k\u00edch th\u00edch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a.
\nT\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb 3,2% \u1edf n\u0103m 2018 xu\u1ed1ng 3% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2019. Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c trong v\u00e0i n\u0103m t\u1edbi. Nguy c\u01a1 leo thang nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1eabn c\u00f2n cao. V\u00e0 n\u1ebfu s\u1ef1 leo thang nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf x\u1ea3y ra, s\u1ef1 thu h\u1eb9p th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m ch\u1eadm n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf chung h\u01a1n n\u1eefa.
\n\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, vi\u1ec7c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a, tr\u00ean c\u01a1 s\u1edf d\u1ea7n lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf c\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng k\u00edch th\u00edch t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng, c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang si\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t l\u1ea1i. K\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111ang t\u0103ng cao, nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro n\u00e0y d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf cao h\u01a1n trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m s\u1eafp \u0111\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n

D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 10 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m sau.<\/p>\n

1. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc<\/h1>\n

\"U.S.-Economic\"
\nN\u0103m 2018, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c 2,9% v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 kinh ng\u1ea1c nh\u1edd v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t li\u1ec1u l\u1edbn t\u1eeb k\u00edch th\u00edch t\u00e0i kh\u00f3a (c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf v\u00e0 t\u0103ng chi ti\u00eau) \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m. T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c k\u00edch th\u00edch n\u00e0y v\u1eabn s\u1ebd lan t\u1ecfa r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t trong n\u0103m t\u1edbi, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e0ng v\u1ec1 sau, c\u00e1c tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u00e0ng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n. Do \u0111\u00f3, Seeking Alpha d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o 2019 s\u1ebd th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 2018 kho\u1ea3ng 0,3%, \u1edf m\u1ee9c 2,6%.<\/p>\n

2. Kinh t\u1ebf khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng euro ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i<\/h1>\n

T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng euro \u0111\u1ea1t 1,9% trong n\u0103m nay v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m c\u00f2n 1,5% trong n\u0103m 2019. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea7y b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng, bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng \u00edt \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 h\u01a1n, s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi…
\nNh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i quan ng\u1ea1i chung ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd c\u00f2n cao trong 2019 khi c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i Ph\u00e1p, \u00dd v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ee9c g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n g\u00e2y n\u00ean b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. Th\u00eam v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7n \u0111\u1ed9n li\u00ean t\u1ee5c xung quanh v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 Brexit s\u1ebd t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Anh, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c 1,1% v\u00e0o n\u0103m sau.<\/p>\n

3.S\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u1eabn c\u00f2n y\u1ebfu<\/h1>\n

T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eb7t tr\u1eddi m\u1ecdc d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd ch\u1ea1m 0,8% trong n\u0103m nay v\u00e0 nh\u00edch l\u00ean 0,9% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2019. Trong khi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 th\u00edch \u1ee9ng, qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi hai l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3n l\u1edbn nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng: s\u1ef1 ch\u1eefng l\u1ea1i trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 nguy c\u01a1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 t\u1ef1 do th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i kh\u1edfi ngu\u1ed3n t\u1eeb c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng M\u1ef9 – Trung.
\nVi\u1ec7c chi ti\u00eau gia t\u0103ng ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c Th\u1ebf v\u1eadn h\u1ed9i 2020 c\u0169ng s\u1ebd duy tr\u00ec \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong 2019. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e0ng v\u1ec1 cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m, m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng s\u1ebd c\u00e0ng gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

4. Kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c<\/h1>\n

T\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00f4ng d\u00e2n nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 6,3% trong n\u0103m sau. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eady, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c r\u1ea5t nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 lao d\u1ed1c qu\u00e1 nhanh, s\u1ef1 r\u1ed1i lo\u1ea1n g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n, v\u00e0 c\u1ea3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u1ec1m t\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb thu\u1ebf quan M\u1ef9.
\nC\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch trong th\u1eddi gian qua \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, d\u00f9 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 t\u1eeb ch\u00fang c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1eabn c\u00f2n khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n.
\n\"TQ\"<\/p>\n

5. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang n\u1ed5i tr\u01b0\u1ee3t d\u1ed1c<\/h1>\n

T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang n\u1ed5i n\u0103m qua gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c 4,8%. Con s\u1ed1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00f2n 4,6% trong n\u0103m ti\u1ebfp theo.
\nTrong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai, nh\u1eefng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng l\u00e0n gi\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1ee3c. \u0110\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn \u0111ang ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Th\u1ee9 hai, \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang d\u1ea7n ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd h\u01a1n, b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3 th\u00ec \u0111\u1ed3ng USD v\u1eabn m\u1ea1nh. Th\u1ee9 ba, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng trong n\u0103m 2019. Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng k\u00e9m ph\u1ea7n quan tr\u1ecdng, th\u1ef1c tr\u1ea1ng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gia t\u0103ng t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u01b0 Brazil v\u00e0 Mexico c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111e d\u1ecda d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i.
\nM\u1ed9t v\u00e0i qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 th\u1ea5p \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1.<\/p>\n

6.Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u1eabn b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n v\u00e0 \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro s\u1ee5t gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3<\/h1>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a 2019 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1eb7t ra t\u1eeb 3 th\u00e0nh t\u1ed1 sau: t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n; c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng d\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t h\u01a1n; v\u00e0 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD.
\nTuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng nhu c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m t\u1edbi v\u1eabn \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Seeking Alpha k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i nh\u1ecf s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra khi k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u0103m 2019. Nh\u01b0ng t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u1ebfn l\u00fac \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u1ea3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u00e3nh li\u1ec7t v\u00e0 kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

7. L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, n\u1ebfu c\u00f3, s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh<\/h1>\n

L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng 2% n\u0103m 2015 l\u00ean 3% n\u0103m 2018. Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u00e0 so s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i trong c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, t\u1eeb gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t ho\u1eb7c g\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t sang l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t. Trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi, Markit d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 \u1edf c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00e0 3% v\u00e0 2%.<\/p>\n

8. C\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u00e2n k\u1ef3<\/h1>\n

\"world-bank\"
\nC\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ba l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa trong n\u0103m sau. Trong khi ch\u1edd \u0111\u1ee3i ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh Brexit, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Anh c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u0103ng m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong 2019. \u0110i\u1ec1u t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1edbi Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Canada c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang n\u1ed5i, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u1edf Brazil, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Nga.
\nSeeking Alpha cho r\u1eb1ng Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cho \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2020, v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eadn 2021.
\n\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u00ec ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i. Nh\u1eefng lo l\u1eafng v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng khi\u1ebfn c\u01a1 quan n\u00e0y ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c cung c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c g\u00f3i k\u00edch th\u00edch.<\/p>\n

9. \u0110\u1ed3ng USD gi\u1eef v\u1eefng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 kh\u00e1c<\/h1>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng b\u1ea1c xanh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c tr\u1ee5 v\u1eefng \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao nh\u01b0 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i trong ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn n\u0103m 2019. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111ang leo thang \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng euro v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng b\u1ea3ng Anh.
\nT\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 euro\/USD v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m t\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1edf t\u1ea7m 1,1 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 1,14 c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi USD c\u0169ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1edd v\u00e0o mong mu\u1ed1n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

10. R\u1ee7i ro t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng c\u00fa s\u1ed1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch t\u0103ng l\u00ean nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 g\u00e2y ra suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf 2019<\/h1>\n

Nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ea7m trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2019. Ch\u00fang bao g\u1ed3m: m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 gia t\u0103ng v\u00e0 th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9; m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 cao \u1edf Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u; nh\u1eefng l\u1ed7i sai ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea1o tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng v\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng kh\u00f4ng k\u00e9m, nh\u1eefng xung \u0111\u1ed9t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng r\u1ea5t nguy hi\u1ec3m, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i v\u00ec ch\u00fang ph\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u1ea1i n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1, m\u00e0 b\u1edfi v\u00ec ch\u00fang d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng leo thang v\u00e0 v\u01b0\u1ee3t kh\u1ecfi t\u1ea7m ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t.<\/p>\n

Minh \u0110\u1ee9c \/ Seeking Alpha
\n* Ngu\u1ed3n: Zing News<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Chuy\u00ean trang t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh Seeking Alpha m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2019. B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i d\u00e0i nh\u1eb1m m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 xoay quanh nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. N\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[74,127],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4668","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-blog","category-trend","no-thumb"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4668","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4668"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4668\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8981,"href":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4668\/revisions\/8981"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4668"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4668"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dtmconsulting.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4668"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}